Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction: Serie A, Sunday 8 November

Fiorentina host Juventus in Serie A on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Artemio Franchi (Florence). Fiorentina are 17th in the table with 5 points from 9 games; Juventus are 8th with 14.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Juventus are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 26% for the draw and 25% for Fiorentina. Megapari's 1.96 on Juventus sits right on our fair price of 2.01.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Fiorentina vs Juventus

Expected goals are 1.0 for Fiorentina and 1.6 for Juventus, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.

Fiorentina vs Juventus correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Fiorentina and Juventus in their last five

Fiorentina have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 6 in that run. Juventus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Fiorentina: last five matches

Juventus: last five matches

Fiorentina vs Juventus head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Fiorentina won 2, Juventus won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Juventus has drifted from 1.77 to 1.96 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.75 to 1.81, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.