Fulham vs Newcastle prediction: Premier League, Saturday 7 November

Fulham host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Craven Cottage (London). Fulham are 15th in the table with 8 points from 8 games; Newcastle are 8th with 11.

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?

There is little to separate the sides: Fulham 40%, the draw 26%, Newcastle 34%. Megapari's 2.25 on Fulham is shorter than our fair price of 2.52: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Fulham vs Newcastle

Expected goals are 1.4 for Fulham and 1.4 for Newcastle, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Fulham vs Newcastle correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-2 (8%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Fulham and Newcastle in their last five

Fulham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Newcastle have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Fulham: last five matches

Newcastle: last five matches

Fulham vs Newcastle head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Fulham won 3, Newcastle won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Fulham 2–0 Newcastle.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Fulham has shortened from 2.49 to 2.25 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.75 to 1.74, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.