UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: UEFA Champions League, Tuesday 3 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Galatasaray host VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 20:45 EAT. The match is played at Ali Sami Yen Sports Complex (Istanbul). Galatasaray are 23rd in the table with 3 points from 3 games; VfB Stuttgart are 6th with 7.
Who will win Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart?
Galatasaray are favourites, though not by much: 45% to win, 23% for the draw and 31% for VfB Stuttgart. Megapari pays 2.33 on Galatasaray, more than our fair price of 2.21.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (82%), over 2.5 goals (64%) and both teams to score: yes (64%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray to win | 45% | 2.21 | 2.33 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | 4.08 |
| VfB Stuttgart to win | 31% | 3.19 | 2.93 |
| Galatasaray or draw | 69% | 1.46 | 1.46 |
| Draw or VfB Stuttgart | 55% | 1.83 | 1.68 |
| Galatasaray or VfB Stuttgart | 77% | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.77 | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 64% | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.79 | 2.93 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 27 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart
Goals are expected: 2.0 for Galatasaray and 1.5 for VfB Stuttgart, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 64%.
Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 9.6% | 10.37 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 11.00 |
| 1-2 | 6.9% | 14.49 |
| 2-2 | 6.8% | 14.77 |
| 2-0 | 6.1% | 16.39 |
Form: Galatasaray and VfB Stuttgart in their last five
Galatasaray have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. VfB Stuttgart have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Galatasaray: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | Fenerbahçe (home)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Lille (away)UEFA Champions League | 4-2 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Genclerbirligi (away)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Barcelona (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig | 3-1 | W |
VfB Stuttgart: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Gladbach (home)Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Atlético Madrid (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Hamburger SV (away)Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Slovan Bratislava (away)UEFA Champions League | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Paderborn 07 (away)Bundesliga | 2-0 | W |
Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart head to head
Galatasaray and VfB Stuttgart have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.39 to 1.43, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.43 ↑ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.72 | 2.80 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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