Genoa CFC vs AC Milan prediction: Serie A, Sunday 8 November

Genoa CFC host AC Milan in Serie A on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa). Genoa CFC are 13th in the table with 10 points from 9 games; AC Milan are 4th with 21.

Who will win Genoa CFC vs AC Milan?

AC Milan are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 26% for the draw and 21% for Genoa CFC. Megapari's 1.83 on AC Milan is shorter than our fair price of 1.91: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Genoa CFC vs AC Milan

Expected goals are 0.9 for Genoa CFC and 1.5 for AC Milan, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-1 (13%) and 0-2 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Genoa CFC and AC Milan in their last five

Genoa CFC have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. AC Milan have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

Genoa CFC: last five matches

AC Milan: last five matches

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Genoa CFC won none, AC Milan won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on AC Milan has drifted from 1.82 to 1.83 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.17 to 2.07, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.