Genoa CFC vs Juventus prediction: Serie A, Wednesday 28 October

Genoa CFC host Juventus in Serie A on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa). Genoa CFC are 17th in the table with 4 points from 7 games; Juventus are 8th with 11.

Who will win Genoa CFC vs Juventus?

Juventus are favourites, though not by much: 57% to win, 25% for the draw and 18% for Genoa CFC. Megapari's 1.70 on Juventus is shorter than our fair price of 1.76: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Juventus to win (57%) and draw or Juventus (82%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Genoa CFC vs Juventus

Expected goals are 0.8 for Genoa CFC and 1.6 for Juventus, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 48%.

Genoa CFC vs Juventus correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 0-2 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Genoa CFC and Juventus in their last five

Genoa CFC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. Juventus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Genoa CFC: last five matches

Juventus: last five matches

Genoa CFC vs Juventus head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Genoa CFC won none, Juventus won 4 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 6 April 2026, finished Juventus 2–0 Genoa CFC.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.