Getafe vs Sevilla prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 1 November

Getafe host Sevilla in LaLiga on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Coliseum (Getafe). Getafe are 16th in the table with 9 points from 9 games; Sevilla are 6th with 14.

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

There is little to separate the sides: Getafe 35%, the draw 32%, Sevilla 33%. At 32% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari pays 3.02 on Getafe, more than our fair price of 2.86.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (32%), under 2.5 goals (62%) and under 3.5 goals (81%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 17:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Getafe vs Sevilla

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.1 and 0.9, and under 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.

Getafe vs Sevilla correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (14%) and 1-0 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Getafe and Sevilla in their last five

Getafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. Sevilla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Getafe: last five matches

Sevilla: last five matches

Getafe vs Sevilla head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Getafe won 2, Sevilla won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 22 February 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Sevilla.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Getafe has drifted from 2.89 to 3.02 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.61 to 2.70, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.