Gladbach vs Paderborn 07 prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 31 October

Gladbach host Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at Ista Borussia-Park (Monchengladbach). Gladbach are 18th in the table with 3 points from 7 games; Paderborn 07 are 12th with 8.

Who will win Gladbach vs Paderborn 07?

Gladbach are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 24% for the draw and 27% for Paderborn 07. Megapari's 1.96 on Gladbach is shorter than our fair price of 2.04: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Gladbach vs Paderborn 07

Goals are expected: 1.7 for Gladbach and 1.2 for Paderborn 07, 2.9 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Gladbach vs Paderborn 07 correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Gladbach and Paderborn 07 in their last five

Gladbach have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. Paderborn 07 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Gladbach: last five matches

Paderborn 07: last five matches

Gladbach vs Paderborn 07 head to head

Gladbach and Paderborn 07 have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Gladbach has drifted from 1.91 to 1.96 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.44 to 1.47, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.