Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 5 November

Hapoel Be'er Sheva host OFI Crete in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Arena-Giulesti (Bucharest). Hapoel Be'er Sheva are 30th in the table with 1 points from 3 games; OFI Crete are 26th with 3.

Who will win Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete?

Hapoel Be'er Sheva are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 24% for OFI Crete. Megapari pays 2.16 on Hapoel Be'er Sheva, more than our fair price of 1.90.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (80%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete

Expected goals are 2.1 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva and 1.1 for OFI Crete, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Hapoel Be'er Sheva and OFI Crete in their last five

Hapoel Be'er Sheva have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. OFI Crete have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. The results cover every competition in our data.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva: last five matches

OFI Crete: last five matches

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete head to head

Hapoel Be'er Sheva and OFI Crete have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Hapoel Be'er Sheva has shortened from 2.60 to 2.16 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.66 to 1.71, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.