Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers prediction: Scottish Premiership, Wednesday 28 October

Heart of Midlothian host Rangers in the Scottish Premiership on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Tynecastle (Edinburgh). Heart of Midlothian are 3rd in the table with 16 points from 9 games; Rangers are 2nd with 20.

Who will win Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers?

There is little to separate the sides: Heart of Midlothian 34%, the draw 26%, Rangers 40%. Megapari's 2.12 on Rangers is shorter than our fair price of 2.51: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers

Expected goals are 1.5 for Heart of Midlothian and 1.5 for Rangers, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Heart of Midlothian and Rangers in their last five

Heart of Midlothian have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Rangers are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Heart of Midlothian: last five matches

Rangers: last five matches

Heart of Midlothian vs Rangers head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Heart of Midlothian won 3, Rangers won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.