Serie A
Inter vs Como prediction: Serie A, Sunday 8 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Inter host Como in Serie A on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Giuseppe Meazza (Milan). Inter are 2nd in the table with 25 points from 10 games; Como are 4th with 23.
Who will win Inter vs Como?
Inter are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 24% for the draw and 26% for Como. Megapari's 1.81 on Inter is shorter than our fair price of 2.01: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 2.5 goals (60%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter to win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | 4.42 |
| Como to win | 26% | 3.78 | 4.21 |
| Inter or draw | 74% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Draw or Como | 50% | 1.99 | 2.11 |
| Inter or Como | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 60% | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | 2.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 60% | 1.65 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.53 | 2.62 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Inter vs Como
Goals are expected: 1.6 for Inter and 1.3 for Como, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.
Inter vs Como correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.8% | 8.50 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.79 |
| 1-0 | 8.1% | 12.39 |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | 13.74 |
| 2-0 | 7.1% | 14.01 |
Form: Inter and Como in their last five
Inter have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Como have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Inter: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | AC Milan (away)Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Venezia (away)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Fiorentina (home)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Bologna (away)Serie A | 3-1 | W |
Como: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | Venezia (home)Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Torino (away)Serie A | 3-1 | W |
| 24 Oct 2026 | US Sassuolo (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Man United (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Fiorentina (away)Serie A | 3-1 | W |
Inter vs Como head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Inter won 3, Como won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 12 April 2026, finished Como 3–4 Inter.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Como – InterSerie A | 3-4 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Inter – ComoSerie A | 4-0 |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Inter – ComoSerie A | 2-0 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Inter has drifted from 1.65 to 1.81 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.50 to 1.45, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter to win | 1.65 | 1.81 ↑ |
| Draw | 4.54 | 4.42 ↓ |
| Como to win | 5.26 | 4.21 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.75 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.58 | 1.44 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.26 | 2.62 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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