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Serie A

Inter vs Como prediction: Serie A, Sunday 8 November

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Inter

Como

Inter
50%Megapari 1.81
Draw
24%Megapari 4.42
Como
26%Megapari 4.21
  • Over 2.5 goals60% · fair 1.66Bet 1.45
  • Both teams to score: yes60% · fair 1.65Bet 1.44

xG 1.6–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)

Inter host Como in Serie A on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Giuseppe Meazza (Milan). Inter are 2nd in the table with 25 points from 10 games; Como are 4th with 23.

Who will win Inter vs Como?

Inter are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 24% for the draw and 26% for Como. Megapari's 1.81 on Inter is shorter than our fair price of 2.01: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 2.5 goals (60%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Inter to win 50% 2.01 1.81
Draw 24% 4.21 4.42
Como to win 26% 3.78 4.21
Inter or draw 74% 1.36 1.27
Draw or Como 50% 1.99 2.11
Inter or Como 76% 1.31 1.25
Over 1.5 goals 78% 1.29 1.11
Over 2.5 goals Tip 60% 1.66 1.45
Under 2.5 goals 40% 2.53 2.75
Under 3.5 goals 67% 1.49 1.79
Both teams to score: yes Tip 60% 1.65 1.44
Both teams to score: no 40% 2.53 2.62

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Inter vs Como

Goals are expected: 1.6 for Inter and 1.3 for Como, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Inter vs Como correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-111.8%8.50
2-19.3%10.79
1-08.1%12.39
1-27.3%13.74
2-07.1%14.01

Form: Inter and Como in their last five

Inter have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Como have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Inter: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
31 Oct 2026AC Milan (away)Serie A1-3L
28 Oct 2026Venezia (away)Serie A2-0W
25 Oct 2026Fiorentina (home)Serie A2-1W
21 Oct 2026Shakhtar Donetsk (home)UEFA Champions League1-0W
17 Oct 2026Bologna (away)Serie A3-1W

Como: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
1 Nov 2026Venezia (home)Serie A1-0W
27 Oct 2026Torino (away)Serie A3-1W
24 Oct 2026US Sassuolo (home)Serie A2-0W
21 Oct 2026Man United (home)UEFA Champions League4-1W
18 Oct 2026Fiorentina (away)Serie A3-1W

Inter vs Como head to head

In their last three meetings in our data, Inter won 3, Como won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 12 April 2026, finished Como 3–4 Inter.

DateMatchScore
12 Apr 2026Como – InterSerie A3-4
6 Dec 2025Inter – ComoSerie A4-0
23 Dec 2024Inter – ComoSerie A2-0

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Inter has drifted from 1.65 to 1.81 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.50 to 1.45, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Inter to win1.651.81 ↑
Draw4.544.42 ↓
Como to win5.264.21 ↓
Over 2.5 goals1.501.45 ↓
Under 2.5 goals2.512.75 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.581.44 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.262.62 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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