Premier League
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth prediction: Premier League, Sunday 8 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Ipswich Town
Bournemouth
- Ipswich Town
- 26%Megapari 3.72
- Draw
- 24%Megapari 3.96
- Bournemouth
- 50%Megapari 2.02
- Over 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.27Bet 1.20
xG 1.2–1.8 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Ipswich Town host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Portman Road (Ipswich). Ipswich Town are 13th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Bournemouth are 7th with 12.
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 24% for the draw and 26% for Ipswich Town. Megapari's 2.02 on Bournemouth sits right on our fair price of 2.00.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town to win | 26% | 3.89 | 3.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | 3.96 |
| Bournemouth to win | 50% | 2.00 | 2.02 |
| Ipswich Town or draw | 50% | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Draw or Bournemouth | 74% | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| Ipswich Town or Bournemouth | 76% | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | 2.31 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | 1.73 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.38 | 2.28 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
Expected goals are 1.2 for Ipswich Town and 1.8 for Bournemouth, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.0% | 9.07 |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | 10.34 |
| 0-1 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 0-2 | 7.9% | 12.72 |
| 2-1 | 6.5% | 15.50 |
Form: Ipswich Town and Bournemouth in their last five
Ipswich Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Bournemouth have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Ipswich Town: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Hull City (away)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Nottingham Forest (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Man City (away)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Fulham (home)Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Everton (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Bournemouth: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Leeds (home)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Man United (away)Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | AC Milan (home)UEFA Europa League | 3-0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Sunderland (home)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Sturm Graz (home)UEFA Europa League | 3-0 | W |
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Ipswich Town won 1, Bournemouth won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 2 April 2025, finished Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich Town.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2025 | Bournemouth – Ipswich TownPremier League | 1-2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Ipswich Town – BournemouthPremier League | 1-2 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Bournemouth has shortened from 2.31 to 2.02 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.86 to 1.72, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town to win | 3.19 | 3.72 ↑ |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.96 ↑ |
| Bournemouth to win | 2.31 | 2.02 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.72 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.31 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.62 | 1.57 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.19 | 2.28 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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