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Premier League

Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth prediction: Premier League, Sunday 8 November

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Ipswich Town

Bournemouth

Ipswich Town
26%Megapari 3.72
Draw
24%Megapari 3.96
Bournemouth
50%Megapari 2.02

xG 1.2–1.8 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)

Ipswich Town host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Portman Road (Ipswich). Ipswich Town are 13th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Bournemouth are 7th with 12.

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth?

Bournemouth are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 24% for the draw and 26% for Ipswich Town. Megapari's 2.02 on Bournemouth sits right on our fair price of 2.00.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Ipswich Town to win 26% 3.89 3.72
Draw 24% 4.10 3.96
Bournemouth to win 50% 2.00 2.02
Ipswich Town or draw 50% 2.00 1.88
Draw or Bournemouth 74% 1.35 1.32
Ipswich Town or Bournemouth 76% 1.32 1.29
Over 1.5 goals Tip 79% 1.27 1.20
Over 2.5 goals 57% 1.75 1.72
Under 2.5 goals 43% 2.33 2.31
Under 3.5 goals 65% 1.53 1.49
Both teams to score: yes 58% 1.73 1.57
Both teams to score: no 42% 2.38 2.28

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth

Expected goals are 1.2 for Ipswich Town and 1.8 for Bournemouth, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-111.0%9.07
1-29.7%10.34
0-18.0%12.48
0-27.9%12.72
2-16.5%15.50

Form: Ipswich Town and Bournemouth in their last five

Ipswich Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Bournemouth have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 0. The results cover every competition in our data.

Ipswich Town: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Hull City (away)Premier League2-2D
23 Oct 2026Nottingham Forest (home)Premier League1-1D
17 Oct 2026Man City (away)Premier League2-3L
10 Oct 2026Fulham (home)Premier League2-1W
19 Sep 2026Everton (away)Premier League0-1L

Bournemouth: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Leeds (home)Premier League2-0W
25 Oct 2026Man United (away)Premier League3-0W
22 Oct 2026AC Milan (home)UEFA Europa League3-0W
18 Oct 2026Sunderland (home)Premier League2-0W
15 Oct 2026Sturm Graz (home)UEFA Europa League3-0W

Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Ipswich Town won 1, Bournemouth won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 2 April 2025, finished Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich Town.

DateMatchScore
2 Apr 2025Bournemouth – Ipswich TownPremier League1-2
8 Dec 2024Ipswich Town – BournemouthPremier League1-2

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Bournemouth has shortened from 2.31 to 2.02 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.86 to 1.72, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Ipswich Town to win3.193.72 ↑
Draw3.723.96 ↑
Bournemouth to win2.312.02 ↓
Over 2.5 goals1.861.72 ↓
Under 2.5 goals2.102.31 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.621.57 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.192.28 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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