Skip to content
TipsQuant

Serie A

Juventus vs Napoli prediction: Serie A, Sunday 1 November

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Juventus

Napoli

Juventus
47%Megapari 1.95
Draw
27%Megapari 3.71
Napoli
26%Megapari 4.32

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.4–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Juventus host Napoli in Serie A on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Allianz (Torino). Juventus are 9th in the table with 11 points from 7 games; Napoli are 10th with 11.

Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?

Juventus are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 27% for the draw and 26% for Napoli. Megapari's 1.95 on Juventus is shorter than our fair price of 2.13: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Juventus to win 47% 2.13 1.95
Draw 27% 3.64 3.71
Napoli to win 26% 3.90 4.32
Juventus or draw 74% 1.35 1.26
Draw or Napoli 53% 1.88 1.96
Juventus or Napoli 73% 1.38 1.32
Over 1.5 goals 72% 1.39 1.30
Over 2.5 goals 48% 2.07 2.01
Under 2.5 goals 52% 1.94 1.93
Under 3.5 goals 74% 1.34 1.33
Both teams to score: yes 52% 1.93 1.79
Both teams to score: no 48% 2.08 1.94

Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Juventus vs Napoli

Expected goals are 1.4 for Juventus and 1.1 for Napoli, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Juventus vs Napoli correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-113.4%7.45
1-011.3%8.81
0-09.4%10.66
2-18.8%11.42
0-18.7%11.52

Form: Juventus and Napoli in their last five

Juventus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Juventus: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
25 Oct 2026US Lecce (away)Serie A2-0W
22 Oct 2026Rennes (home)UEFA Europa League2-2D
18 Oct 2026Lazio (home)Serie A0-3L
15 Oct 2026Celta Vigo (away)UEFA Europa League2-1W
11 Oct 2026Cagliari (away)Serie A1-1D

Napoli: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Roma (home)Serie A3-3D
20 Oct 2026Bodø/Glimt (home)UEFA Champions League4-3W
17 Oct 2026Venezia (away)Serie A0-1L
13 Oct 2026Villarreal (away)UEFA Champions League1-3L
10 Oct 2026Frosinone (home)Serie A3-0W

Juventus vs Napoli head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Juventus won 2, Napoli won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 25 January 2026, finished Juventus 3–0 Napoli.

DateMatchScore
25 Jan 2026Juventus – NapoliSerie A3-0
7 Dec 2025Napoli – JuventusSerie A2-1
25 Jan 2025Napoli – JuventusSerie A2-1
21 Sep 2024Juventus – NapoliSerie A0-0
3 Mar 2024Napoli – JuventusSerie A2-1
8 Dec 2023Juventus – NapoliSerie A1-0

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT

Get the 100% bonus

18+. New customers only. Terms apply. Odds may differ from those shown.
18++100% at Megapari with code Get bonus