Serie A
Juventus vs Napoli prediction: Serie A, Sunday 1 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Juventus
Napoli
- Juventus
- 47%Megapari 1.95
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.71
- Napoli
- 26%Megapari 4.32
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.4–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Juventus host Napoli in Serie A on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Allianz (Torino). Juventus are 9th in the table with 11 points from 7 games; Napoli are 10th with 11.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
Juventus are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 27% for the draw and 26% for Napoli. Megapari's 1.95 on Juventus is shorter than our fair price of 2.13: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus to win | 47% | 2.13 | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | 3.71 |
| Napoli to win | 26% | 3.90 | 4.32 |
| Juventus or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Draw or Napoli | 53% | 1.88 | 1.96 |
| Juventus or Napoli | 73% | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 | 1.94 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Juventus vs Napoli
Expected goals are 1.4 for Juventus and 1.1 for Napoli, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Juventus vs Napoli correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.4% | 7.45 |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | 8.81 |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | 10.66 |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | 11.42 |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | 11.52 |
Form: Juventus and Napoli in their last five
Juventus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Juventus: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | US Lecce (away)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Rennes (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Lazio (home)Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Celta Vigo (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Cagliari (away)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
Napoli: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Roma (home)Serie A | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Bodø/Glimt (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-3 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Venezia (away)Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Villarreal (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Frosinone (home)Serie A | 3-0 | W |
Juventus vs Napoli head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Juventus won 2, Napoli won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 25 January 2026, finished Juventus 3–0 Napoli.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Juventus – NapoliSerie A | 3-0 |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Napoli – JuventusSerie A | 2-1 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Napoli – JuventusSerie A | 2-1 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Juventus – NapoliSerie A | 0-0 |
| 3 Mar 2024 | Napoli – JuventusSerie A | 2-1 |
| 8 Dec 2023 | Juventus – NapoliSerie A | 1-0 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT