Kenya Police vs Leopards prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Tuesday 20 October

Kenya Police host Leopards in the Kenyan Premier League on Tuesday 20 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at Estadio Nacional Nyayo (Nairobi). Kenya Police are 10th in the table with 1 points from 1 games; Leopards are 12th with 1.

Who will win Kenya Police vs Leopards?

There is little to separate the sides: Kenya Police 36%, the draw 35%, Leopards 28%. At 35% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.38 on Kenya Police is shorter than our fair price of 2.75: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (35%), under 2.5 goals (67%) and under 3.5 goals (88%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 19 October 2026, 18:26 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Kenya Police vs Leopards

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.7, and under 2.5 goals at 67%. Leopards may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 42%.

Kenya Police vs Leopards correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 23%, ahead of 1-0 (18%) and 0-1 (15%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 4 matches like this one.

Form: Kenya Police and Leopards in their last five

Kenya Police are unbeaten in 5 (0 wins, 5 draws), with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. Leopards have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Kenya Police: last five matches

Leopards: last five matches

Kenya Police vs Leopards head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Kenya Police won 1, Leopards won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 4 September 2026, finished Kenya Police 0–0 Leopards.

The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.