Le Havre vs Lorient prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November

Le Havre host Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 19:15 EAT. The match is played at Oceane (Le Havre). Le Havre are 18th in the table with 2 points from 9 games; Lorient are 10th with 12.

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

There is little to separate the sides: Le Havre 32%, the draw 28%, Lorient 40%. Megapari pays 2.65 on Lorient, more than our fair price of 2.51.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 19:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Le Havre vs Lorient

Expected goals are 1.1 for Le Havre and 1.3 for Lorient, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Le Havre vs Lorient correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Le Havre and Lorient in their last five

Le Havre have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 7 in that run. Lorient have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Le Havre: last five matches

Lorient: last five matches

Le Havre vs Lorient head to head

In their last three meetings in our data, Le Havre won 1, Lorient won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lorient 0–2 Le Havre.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Lorient has shortened from 2.68 to 2.65 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.08 to 2.07, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.