Le Mans vs Monaco prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November

Le Mans host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 19:15 EAT. The match is played at Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans). Le Mans are 17th in the table with 7 points from 9 games; Monaco are 4th with 15.

Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?

Monaco are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Le Mans. Megapari's 1.80 on Monaco is shorter than our fair price of 1.88: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 19:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Le Mans vs Monaco

Expected goals are 1.1 for Le Mans and 1.8 for Monaco, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Le Mans vs Monaco correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Le Mans and Monaco in their last five

Le Mans have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Monaco have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Le Mans: last five matches

Monaco: last five matches

Le Mans vs Monaco head to head

Le Mans and Monaco have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Monaco has shortened from 1.93 to 1.80 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.65 to 1.64, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.