Leeds vs Tottenham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 7 November

Leeds host Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 15:30 EAT. The match is played at Elland Road (Leeds). Leeds are 7th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Tottenham are 14th with 9.

Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?

There is little to separate the sides: Leeds 42%, the draw 27%, Tottenham 30%. Megapari pays 2.57 on Leeds, more than our fair price of 2.37.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Leeds vs Tottenham

Expected goals are 1.5 for Leeds and 1.0 for Tottenham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Leeds vs Tottenham correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Leeds and Tottenham in their last five

Leeds have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Tottenham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Leeds: last five matches

Tottenham: last five matches

Leeds vs Tottenham head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Leeds won none, Tottenham won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 11 May 2026, finished Tottenham 1–1 Leeds.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Leeds has drifted from 2.44 to 2.57 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.11 to 1.96, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.