Levante UD vs Atlético Madrid prediction: LaLiga, Saturday 31 October

Levante UD host Atlético Madrid in LaLiga on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Ciudad de Valencia (Valencia). Levante UD are 11th in the table with 10 points from 9 games; Atlético Madrid are 2nd with 22.

Who will win Levante UD vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 23% for the draw and 21% for Levante UD. Megapari's 1.65 on Atlético Madrid is shorter than our fair price of 1.78: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Atlético Madrid to win (56%) and over 1.5 goals (78%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Levante UD vs Atlético Madrid

Goals are expected: 1.2 for Levante UD and 1.8 for Atlético Madrid, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Levante UD vs Atlético Madrid correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Levante UD and Atlético Madrid in their last five

Levante UD have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Atlético Madrid are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Levante UD: last five matches

Atlético Madrid: last five matches

Levante UD vs Atlético Madrid head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Levante UD won none, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 31 January 2026, finished Levante UD 0–0 Atlético Madrid.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Atlético Madrid has drifted from 1.60 to 1.65 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.67 to 1.54, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.