Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 31 October

Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at BayArena (Leverkusen). Leverkusen are 4th in the table with 13 points from 6 games; VfB Stuttgart are 15th with 6.

Who will win Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Leverkusen are favourites, though not by much: 55% to win, 22% for the draw and 23% for VfB Stuttgart. Megapari's 1.81 on Leverkusen sits right on our fair price of 1.82.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Leverkusen to win (55%), over 1.5 goals (81%), over 2.5 goals (66%) and both teams to score: yes (64%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart

Goals are expected: 2.1 for Leverkusen and 1.3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 64%.

Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart in their last five

Leverkusen have won all of their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. VfB Stuttgart have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Leverkusen: last five matches

VfB Stuttgart: last five matches

Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Leverkusen won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Leverkusen.

How the odds have moved

Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.28 to 1.32, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.