Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 5 November

Lillestrom host Viktoria Plzeň in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 20:45 EAT. The match is played at Arasen (Lillestrom). Lillestrom are 31st in the table with 1 points from 3 games; Viktoria Plzeň are 33rd with 0.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň?

There is little to separate the sides: Lillestrom 36%, the draw 26%, Viktoria Plzeň 38%. Megapari's 2.41 on Viktoria Plzeň is shorter than our fair price of 2.60: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň

Expected goals are 1.4 for Lillestrom and 1.4 for Viktoria Plzeň, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-2 (8%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Lillestrom and Viktoria Plzeň in their last five

Lillestrom have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Viktoria Plzeň have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Lillestrom: last five matches

Viktoria Plzeň: last five matches

Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň head to head

Lillestrom and Viktoria Plzeň have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Viktoria Plzeň has shortened from 2.87 to 2.41 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.