Lorient vs Brest prediction: Ligue 1, Saturday 31 October

Lorient host Brest in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient). Lorient are 7th in the table with 11 points from 7 games; Brest are 11th with 9.

Who will win Lorient vs Brest?

There is little to separate the sides: Lorient 41%, the draw 27%, Brest 32%. Megapari pays 2.73 on Lorient, more than our fair price of 2.42.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Lorient vs Brest

Expected goals are 1.6 for Lorient and 1.2 for Brest, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.

Lorient vs Brest correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Lorient and Brest in their last five

Lorient have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Brest have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Lorient: last five matches

Brest: last five matches

Lorient vs Brest head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Lorient won none, Brest won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 7 February 2026, finished Brest 2–0 Lorient.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Lorient has shortened from 2.93 to 2.73 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.