Ligue 1
Lyon vs Angers SCO prediction: Ligue 1, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Lyon host Angers SCO in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon). Lyon are 1st in the table with 14 points from 7 games; Angers SCO are 15th with 7.
Who will win Lyon vs Angers SCO?
The model makes Lyon clear favourites at 69%, with the draw at 19% and Angers SCO at 12%. Megapari's 1.44 on Lyon sits right on our fair price of 1.46.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Lyon to win (69%) and Lyon or draw (88%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon to win Tip | 69% | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.18 | 5.24 |
| Angers SCO to win | 12% | 8.33 | 7.70 |
| Lyon or draw Tip | 88% | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Draw or Angers SCO | 31% | 3.19 | 3.02 |
| Lyon or Angers SCO | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.46 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.95 | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.06 | 1.96 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Lyon vs Angers SCO
Expected goals are 2.1 for Lyon and 0.7 for Angers SCO, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Lyon vs Angers SCO correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 13.0% | 7.70 |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | 8.45 |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | 10.53 |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | 10.59 |
| 3-0 | 9.2% | 10.93 |
Form: Lyon and Angers SCO in their last five
Lyon have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Angers SCO have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. The results cover every competition in our data.
Lyon: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-3 | L |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Nice (home)Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace (home)UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Lens (away)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rennes (home)Ligue 1 | 4-0 | W |
Angers SCO: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Marseille (home)Ligue 1 | 2-5 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Brest (away)Ligue 1 | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Troyes (home)Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Le Havre (away)Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Rennes (home)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Lyon vs Angers SCO head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Lyon won 3, Angers SCO won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 5 April 2026, finished Angers SCO 0–0 Lyon.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Angers SCO – LyonLigue 1 | 0-0 |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Lyon – Angers SCOLigue 1 | 1-0 |
| 17 May 2025 | Lyon – Angers SCOLigue 1 | 2-0 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Angers SCO – LyonLigue 1 | 0-3 |
The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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