Malaga vs Racing de Santander prediction: LaLiga, Saturday 7 November

Malaga host Racing de Santander in LaLiga on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at La Rosaleda (Malaga). Malaga are 20th in the table with 5 points from 10 games; Racing de Santander are 14th with 11.

Who will win Malaga vs Racing de Santander?

There is little to separate the sides: Malaga 44%, the draw 25%, Racing de Santander 31%. Megapari pays 2.48 on Malaga, more than our fair price of 2.27.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (82%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Malaga vs Racing de Santander

Goals are expected: 2.0 for Malaga and 1.5 for Racing de Santander, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Malaga vs Racing de Santander correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Malaga and Racing de Santander in their last five

Malaga have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Racing de Santander have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -11. The results cover every competition in our data.

Malaga: last five matches

Racing de Santander: last five matches

Malaga vs Racing de Santander head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Malaga won none, Racing de Santander won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Malaga 1–1 Racing de Santander.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Malaga has drifted from 2.27 to 2.48 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.74 to 1.73, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.