Man United vs Roma prediction: UEFA Champions League, Tuesday 3 November

Man United host Roma in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Old Trafford (Manchester). Man United are 20th in the table with 3 points from 3 games; Roma are 15th with 4.

Who will win Man United vs Roma?

There is little to separate the sides: Man United 44%, the draw 24%, Roma 31%. Megapari pays 2.38 on Man United, more than our fair price of 2.25.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (80%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 27 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Man United vs Roma

Goals are expected: 1.8 for Man United and 1.4 for Roma, 3.2 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.

Man United vs Roma correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Man United and Roma in their last five

Man United have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Roma have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Man United: last five matches

Roma: last five matches

Man United vs Roma head to head

Man United and Roma have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Man United has drifted from 2.08 to 2.38 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.64 to 1.55, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.