Mbarara City vs Vipers prediction: Uganda Premier League, Wednesday 28 October

Mbarara City host Vipers in the Uganda Premier League on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Mbarara City are 14th in the table with 5 points from 5 games; Vipers are 5th with 10.

Who will win Mbarara City vs Vipers?

The model makes Vipers clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 24% and Mbarara City at 10%.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Vipers to win (66%), draw or Vipers (90%) and under 3.5 goals (78%).

Goals in Mbarara City vs Vipers

Expected goals are 0.5 for Mbarara City and 1.7 for Vipers, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 44%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 44%.

Mbarara City vs Vipers correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-1 at 18%, ahead of 0-2 (16%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: Mbarara City and Vipers in their last five

Mbarara City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Vipers are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 13 goals scored and 1 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Mbarara City: last five matches

Vipers: last five matches

Mbarara City vs Vipers head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Mbarara City won none, Vipers won 5 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 7 March 2026, finished Mbarara City 1–2 Vipers.

The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.