Newcastle vs Everton prediction: Premier League, Monday 2 November

Newcastle host Everton in the Premier League on Monday 2 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne). Newcastle are 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Everton are 11th with 10.

Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?

Newcastle are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 26% for the draw and 28% for Everton. Megapari pays 2.26 on Newcastle, more than our fair price of 2.19.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 27 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Newcastle vs Everton

Expected goals are 1.6 for Newcastle and 1.1 for Everton, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Newcastle vs Everton correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Newcastle and Everton in their last five

Newcastle have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Everton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Newcastle: last five matches

Everton: last five matches

Newcastle vs Everton head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Newcastle won 1, Everton won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 28 February 2026, finished Newcastle 2–3 Everton.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.