Ligue 1
Nice vs Rennes prediction: Ligue 1, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Nice host Rennes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 19:15 EAT. The match is played at Allianz Riviera (Nice). Nice are 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Rennes are 6th with 13.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
There is little to separate the sides: Nice 33%, the draw 25%, Rennes 42%. Megapari pays 2.53 on Rennes, more than our fair price of 2.40.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice to win | 33% | 3.03 | 2.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | 3.84 |
| Rennes to win | 42% | 2.40 | 2.53 |
| Nice or draw | 58% | 1.71 | 1.59 |
| Draw or Rennes | 67% | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Nice or Rennes | 75% | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.45 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 60% | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.49 | 2.50 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Nice vs Rennes
Expected goals are 1.4 for Nice and 1.7 for Rennes, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.
Nice vs Rennes correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 8.63 |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | 10.91 |
| 0-1 | 7.6% | 13.12 |
| 2-1 | 7.5% | 13.40 |
| 0-2 | 6.8% | 14.73 |
Form: Nice and Rennes in their last five
Nice have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Rennes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Nice: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Brest (away)Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Lyon (away)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Strasbourg (home)Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Lille (home)Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | AJ Auxerre (away)Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
Rennes: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Juventus (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Paris (away)Ligue 1 | 3-4 | L |
| 15 Oct 2026 | OFI Crete (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | AJ Auxerre (home)Ligue 1 | 4-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Lyon (away)Ligue 1 | 0-4 | L |
Nice vs Rennes head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Nice won 3, Rennes won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 8 March 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Rennes.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | Nice – RennesLigue 1 | 0-4 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Rennes – NiceLigue 1 | 1-2 |
| 10 May 2025 | Rennes – NiceLigue 1 | 2-0 |
| 3 Jan 2025 | Nice – RennesLigue 1 | 3-2 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Rennes – NiceLigue 1 | 2-0 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Nice – RennesLigue 1 | 2-0 |
The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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