Nottingham Forest vs Man City prediction: Premier League, Saturday 7 November

Nottingham Forest host Man City in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at City Ground (Nottingham). Nottingham Forest are 19th in the table with 6 points from 9 games; Man City are 1st with 21.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Man City?

Man City are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 22% for Nottingham Forest. Megapari's 1.73 on Man City is shorter than our fair price of 1.87: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Nottingham Forest vs Man City

Expected goals are 1.1 for Nottingham Forest and 1.6 for Man City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Nottingham Forest vs Man City correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Nottingham Forest and Man City in their last five

Nottingham Forest have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. Man City have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Nottingham Forest: last five matches

Man City: last five matches

Nottingham Forest vs Man City head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Nottingham Forest won 1, Man City won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 4 March 2026, finished Man City 2–2 Nottingham Forest.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Man City has drifted from 1.67 to 1.73 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.63 to 1.69, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.