Serie A
Parma vs Bologna prediction: Serie A, Saturday 7 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Parma
Bologna
- Parma
- 23%Megapari 3.71
- Draw
- 29%Megapari 3.60
- Bologna
- 48%Megapari 2.13
- Under 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.24Bet 1.26
xG 0.7–1.3 · likeliest 0-1 (17%)
Parma host Bologna in Serie A on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). Parma are 18th in the table with 5 points from 9 games; Bologna are 9th with 14.
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
Bologna are favourites, though not by much: 48% to win, 29% for the draw and 23% for Parma. Megapari's 2.13 on Bologna sits right on our fair price of 2.08.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma to win | 23% | 4.31 | 3.71 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.60 |
| Bologna to win | 48% | 2.08 | 2.13 |
| Parma or draw | 52% | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| Draw or Bologna | 77% | 1.30 | 1.32 |
| Parma or Bologna | 71% | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.81 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.24 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.09 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.92 | 1.84 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Parma vs Bologna
Expected goals are 0.7 for Parma and 1.3 for Bologna, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 43%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 48%.
Parma vs Bologna correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-1 at 17%, ahead of 0-0 (14%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 16.6% | 6.01 |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | 7.25 |
| 1-1 | 13.0% | 7.70 |
| 0-2 | 11.3% | 8.85 |
| 1-0 | 8.8% | 11.33 |
Form: Parma and Bologna in their last five
Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Bologna have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Parma: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Udinese (home)Serie A | 0-0 | D |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Lazio (away)Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Torino (home)Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Inter (away)Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Genoa CFC (home)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Bologna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Monza (home)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Oct 2026 | AC Milan (away)Serie A | 4-2 | W |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Cagliari (away)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Inter (home)Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | US Lecce (away)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Parma vs Bologna head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Parma won 2, Bologna won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 8 February 2026, finished Bologna 0–1 Parma.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Bologna – ParmaSerie A | 0-1 |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Parma – BolognaSerie A | 1-3 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Parma – BolognaSerie A | 2-0 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Bologna – ParmaSerie A | 0-0 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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