PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 4 November

PSV Eindhoven host Club Brugge in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Philips (Eindhoven). PSV Eindhoven are 18th in the table with 4 points from 3 games; Club Brugge are 11th with 6.

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge?

PSV Eindhoven are favourites, though not by much: 48% to win, 22% for the draw and 30% for Club Brugge. Megapari pays 2.22 on PSV Eindhoven, more than our fair price of 2.10.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (86%), over 2.5 goals (68%) and both teams to score: yes (67%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge

Goals are expected: 2.3 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.7 for Club Brugge, 4.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 67%.

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 8%, ahead of 1-1 (7%) and 2-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 12 matches like this one.

Form: PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge in their last five

PSV Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Club Brugge have won all of their last 5, scoring 17 and conceding 6. The results cover every competition in our data.

PSV Eindhoven: last five matches

Club Brugge: last five matches

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge head to head

PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on PSV Eindhoven has drifted from 2.20 to 2.22 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.36 to 1.38, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.