RB Leipzig vs Augsburg prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November

RB Leipzig host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at Red Bull Arena (Leipzig). RB Leipzig are 6th in the table with 12 points from 7 games; Augsburg are 9th with 9.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Augsburg?

The model makes RB Leipzig clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Augsburg at 17%. Megapari's 1.50 on RB Leipzig is shorter than our fair price of 1.56: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Five markets clear our thresholds for this match: RB Leipzig to win (64%), RB Leipzig or draw (83%), over 1.5 goals (83%), over 2.5 goals (69%) and both teams to score: yes (63%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

Goals are expected: 2.3 for RB Leipzig and 1.2 for Augsburg, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 63%.

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: RB Leipzig and Augsburg in their last five

RB Leipzig have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Augsburg have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 10 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

RB Leipzig: last five matches

Augsburg: last five matches

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, RB Leipzig won 3, Augsburg won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 7 March 2026, finished RB Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on RB Leipzig has shortened from 1.52 to 1.50 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.27 to 1.26, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.