Rennes vs Lille prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November

Rennes host Lille in Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Roazhon Park (Rennes). Rennes are 3rd in the table with 16 points from 9 games; Lille are 2nd with 18.

Who will win Rennes vs Lille?

There is little to separate the sides: Rennes 43%, the draw 26%, Lille 32%. Megapari's 2.12 on Rennes is shorter than our fair price of 2.35: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (58%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Rennes vs Lille

Expected goals are 1.5 for Rennes and 1.4 for Lille, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.

Rennes vs Lille correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Rennes and Lille in their last five

Rennes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Lille have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Rennes: last five matches

Lille: last five matches

Rennes vs Lille head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Rennes won 1, Lille won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Rennes 1–2 Lille.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Rennes has drifted from 2.07 to 2.12 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.56 to 1.69, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.