UEFA Europa League
Rennes vs Olympiacos prediction: UEFA Europa League, Wednesday 4 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Rennes
Olympiacos
- Rennes
- 41%Megapari 2.15
- Draw
- 28%Megapari 3.73
- Olympiacos
- 31%Megapari 3.35
- Under 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.28Bet 1.43
xG 1.1–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Rennes host Olympiacos in the UEFA Europa League on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 18:30 EAT. The match is played at Roazhon Park (Rennes). Rennes are 13th in the table with 5 points from 3 games; Olympiacos are 5th with 9.
Who will win Rennes vs Olympiacos?
There is little to separate the sides: Rennes 41%, the draw 28%, Olympiacos 31%. Megapari's 2.15 on Rennes is shorter than our fair price of 2.44: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (78%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes to win | 41% | 2.44 | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | 3.73 |
| Olympiacos to win | 31% | 3.25 | 3.35 |
| Rennes or draw | 69% | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Draw or Olympiacos | 59% | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| Rennes or Olympiacos | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 2.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.85 | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.17 | 2.22 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Rennes vs Olympiacos
Expected goals are 1.1 for Rennes and 1.1 for Olympiacos, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Rennes vs Olympiacos correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 0-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 14.1% | 7.11 |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | 8.31 |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | 8.48 |
| 0-1 | 11.1% | 9.04 |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | 13.07 |
Form: Rennes and Olympiacos in their last five
Rennes have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. Olympiacos have won all of their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Rennes: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Strasbourg (home)Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Juventus (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Paris (away)Ligue 1 | 3-4 | L |
| 15 Oct 2026 | OFI Crete (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | AJ Auxerre (home)Ligue 1 | 4-1 | W |
Olympiacos: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Kalamata (home)Super League Greece | 5-0 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Sparta Prague (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Panetolikos (away)Super League Greece | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Marseille (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Panathinaikos (home)Super League Greece | 1-0 | W |
Rennes vs Olympiacos head to head
Rennes and Olympiacos have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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