Serie A
Roma vs US Sassuolo prediction: Serie A, Saturday 7 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Roma host US Sassuolo in Serie A on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Olimpico (Rome). Roma are 3rd in the table with 24 points from 10 games; US Sassuolo are 15th with 8.
Who will win Roma vs US Sassuolo?
The model makes Roma clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 19% and US Sassuolo at 14%. Megapari pays 1.53 on Roma, more than our fair price of 1.48.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Roma to win (68%), Roma or draw (86%), over 1.5 goals (82%) and over 2.5 goals (63%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to win Tip | 68% | 1.48 | 1.53 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.37 | 4.96 |
| US Sassuolo to win | 14% | 7.24 | 6.29 |
| Roma or draw Tip | 86% | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Draw or US Sassuolo | 32% | 3.08 | 2.69 |
| Roma or US Sassuolo | 81% | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 63% | 1.59 | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 | 2.60 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.19 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Roma vs US Sassuolo
Goals are expected: 2.5 for Roma and 0.9 for US Sassuolo, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Roma vs US Sassuolo correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 9.9% | 10.10 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 10.60 |
| 3-0 | 8.2% | 12.12 |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | 12.63 |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | 12.74 |
Form: Roma and US Sassuolo in their last five
Roma are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 18 goals scored and 7 conceded. US Sassuolo have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 6 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Roma: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Udinese (away)Serie A | 5-2 | W |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Cagliari (home)Serie A | 4-2 | W |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Napoli (away)Serie A | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Slovan Bratislava (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Genoa CFC (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
US Sassuolo: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | Lazio (home)Serie A | 2-6 | L |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Como (away)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Frosinone (away)Serie A | 2-4 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | AC Milan (home)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Monza (away)Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Roma vs US Sassuolo head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Roma won 4, US Sassuolo won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 10 January 2026, finished Roma 2–0 US Sassuolo.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Roma – US SassuoloSerie A | 2-0 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | US Sassuolo – RomaSerie A | 0-1 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Roma – US SassuoloSerie A | 1-0 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | US Sassuolo – RomaSerie A | 1-2 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT