S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 5 November

S.C.U. Torreense host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Magalhaes Pessoa (Leiria). S.C.U. Torreense are 28th in the table with 3 points from 3 games; Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0.

Who will win S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?

S.C.U. Torreense are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 24% for the draw and 22% for Ararat-Armenia. Megapari's 1.76 on S.C.U. Torreense is shorter than our fair price of 1.85: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia

Expected goals are 1.8 for S.C.U. Torreense and 1.1 for Ararat-Armenia, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: S.C.U. Torreense and Ararat-Armenia in their last five

S.C.U. Torreense have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Ararat-Armenia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -8. The results cover every competition in our data.

S.C.U. Torreense: last five matches

Ararat-Armenia: last five matches

S.C.U. Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia head to head

S.C.U. Torreense and Ararat-Armenia have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on S.C.U. Torreense has drifted from 1.58 to 1.76 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.10 to 2.04, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.