Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 31 October

Schalke 04 host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at Veltins-Arena (Gelsenkirchen). Schalke 04 are 16th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; RB Leipzig are 5th with 12.

Who will win Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig are favourites, though not by much: 51% to win, 25% for the draw and 25% for Schalke 04. Megapari's 1.89 on RB Leipzig is shorter than our fair price of 1.98: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig

Expected goals are 1.0 for Schalke 04 and 1.5 for RB Leipzig, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig in their last five

Schalke 04 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. RB Leipzig have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Schalke 04: last five matches

RB Leipzig: last five matches

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig head to head

Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on RB Leipzig has shortened from 1.93 to 1.89 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.37 to 1.42, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.