Sevilla vs CA Osasuna prediction: LaLiga, Monday 26 October

Sevilla host CA Osasuna in LaLiga on Monday 26 October, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan (Seville). Sevilla are 6th in the table with 14 points from 9 games; CA Osasuna are 10th with 11.

Who will win Sevilla vs CA Osasuna?

Sevilla are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 26% for the draw and 25% for CA Osasuna. Megapari's 2.02 on Sevilla sits right on our fair price of 2.05.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 05:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Sevilla vs CA Osasuna

Expected goals are 1.6 for Sevilla and 1.1 for CA Osasuna, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Sevilla vs CA Osasuna correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Sevilla and CA Osasuna in their last five

Sevilla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. CA Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. The results cover every competition in our data.

Sevilla: last five matches

CA Osasuna: last five matches

Sevilla vs CA Osasuna head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Sevilla won 1, CA Osasuna won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 26 April 2026, finished CA Osasuna 2–1 Sevilla.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.