Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés prediction: LaLiga, Friday 6 November

Sevilla host Deportivo Alavés in LaLiga on Friday 6 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan (Seville). Sevilla are 6th in the table with 17 points from 10 games; Deportivo Alavés are 7th with 12.

Who will win Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés?

Sevilla are favourites, though not by much: 45% to win, 28% for the draw and 27% for Deportivo Alavés. Megapari's 2.15 on Sevilla sits right on our fair price of 2.21.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés

Expected goals are 1.5 for Sevilla and 1.1 for Deportivo Alavés, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Sevilla and Deportivo Alavés in their last five

Sevilla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Deportivo Alavés have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Sevilla: last five matches

Deportivo Alavés: last five matches

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Sevilla won 1, Deportivo Alavés won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Sevilla 1–1 Deportivo Alavés.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Sevilla has drifted from 2.03 to 2.15 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.