Tanzanian Premier League
Singida Fountain Gate vs Simba prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Wednesday 28 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Singida Fountain Gate
Simba
- Singida Fountain Gate
- 6%
- Draw
- 16%
- Simba
- 77%
- Simba to win77% · fair 1.29
- Draw or Simba94% · fair 1.07
xG 0.5–2.2 · likeliest 0-2 (17%)
Singida Fountain Gate host Simba in the Tanzanian Premier League on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Singida Fountain Gate are 16th in the table with 5 points from 8 games; Simba are 1st with 24.
Who will win Singida Fountain Gate vs Simba?
The model makes Simba clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 16% and Singida Fountain Gate at 6%.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Simba to win (77%) and draw or Simba (94%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Singida Fountain Gate to win | 6% | 16.34 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.07 |
| Simba to win Tip | 77% | 1.29 |
| Singida Fountain Gate or draw | 23% | 4.42 |
| Draw or Simba Tip | 94% | 1.07 |
| Singida Fountain Gate or Simba | 84% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.80 |
Goals in Singida Fountain Gate vs Simba
Expected goals are 0.5 for Singida Fountain Gate and 2.2 for Simba, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 44%.
Singida Fountain Gate vs Simba correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-2 at 17%, ahead of 0-1 (15%) and 0-3 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 16.7% | 6.00 |
| 0-1 | 14.7% | 6.80 |
| 0-3 | 12.4% | 8.08 |
| 1-2 | 7.9% | 12.69 |
| 1-1 | 7.4% | 13.57 |
Form: Singida Fountain Gate and Simba in their last five
Singida Fountain Gate have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Simba have won all of their last 5, scoring 22 and conceding 4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Singida Fountain Gate: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Pamba Jiji (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Oct 2026 | JKT Tanzania (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kagera Sugar (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Mbeya City (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Simba: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 15 de Agosto (away)CAF Champions League | 6-1 | W |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Mashujaa (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 6-1 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Young Africans (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Mighty Wanderers (home)CAF Champions League | 6-1 | W |
Singida Fountain Gate vs Simba head to head
In their last five meetings in our data, Singida Fountain Gate won none, Simba won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 15 April 2026, finished Singida Fountain Gate 0–3 Simba.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | Singida Fountain Gate – SimbaTanzanian Premier League | 0-3 |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Simba – Singida Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League | 3-0 |
| 6 Feb 2025 | Singida Fountain Gate – SimbaTanzanian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Simba – Singida Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Simba – Singida Fountain GateTanzanian Premier League | 3-1 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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