Slavia Prague vs Arsenal prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 4 November

Slavia Prague host Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Fortuna Arena (Prague). Slavia Prague are 32nd in the table with 1 points from 3 games; Arsenal are 7th with 7.

Who will win Slavia Prague vs Arsenal?

The model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 19% and Slavia Prague at 13%. Megapari's 1.35 on Arsenal is shorter than our fair price of 1.47: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Arsenal to win (68%) and draw or Arsenal (87%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Slavia Prague vs Arsenal

Expected goals are 0.7 for Slavia Prague and 1.8 for Arsenal, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.

Slavia Prague vs Arsenal correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-2 (13%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Slavia Prague and Arsenal in their last five

Slavia Prague have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Arsenal are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 10 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Slavia Prague: last five matches

Arsenal: last five matches

Slavia Prague vs Arsenal head to head

The two have met once in our data: on 4 November 2025, Slavia Prague 0–3 Arsenal.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Arsenal has drifted from 1.30 to 1.35 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.39 to 1.56, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.