St. Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction: Scottish Premiership, Wednesday 28 October

St. Johnstone host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at McDiarmid Park (Perth). St. Johnstone are 5th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Motherwell are 10th with 8.

Who will win St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

There is little to separate the sides: St. Johnstone 42%, the draw 27%, Motherwell 30%. Megapari's 2.24 on St. Johnstone is shorter than our fair price of 2.36: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in St. Johnstone vs Motherwell

Expected goals are 1.4 for St. Johnstone and 1.1 for Motherwell, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

St. Johnstone vs Motherwell correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: St. Johnstone and Motherwell in their last five

St. Johnstone have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Motherwell have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

St. Johnstone: last five matches

Motherwell: last five matches

St. Johnstone vs Motherwell head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, St. Johnstone won 1, Motherwell won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 26 April 2025, finished Motherwell 3–2 St. Johnstone.

How the odds have moved

The prices have changed since the line opened; the table shows each move.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.