St. Mirren vs Hibernian prediction: Scottish Premiership, Wednesday 28 October

St. Mirren host Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Saint Mirren (Paisley). St. Mirren are 8th in the table with 10 points from 9 games; Hibernian are 12th with 7.

Who will win St. Mirren vs Hibernian?

Hibernian are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 27% for the draw and 26% for St. Mirren. Megapari's 1.98 on Hibernian is shorter than our fair price of 2.13: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in St. Mirren vs Hibernian

Expected goals are 0.9 for St. Mirren and 1.4 for Hibernian, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

St. Mirren vs Hibernian correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (13%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: St. Mirren and Hibernian in their last five

St. Mirren have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. Hibernian have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

St. Mirren: last five matches

Hibernian: last five matches

St. Mirren vs Hibernian head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, St. Mirren won 1, Hibernian won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Hibernian 2–0 St. Mirren.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Hibernian has drifted from 1.96 to 1.98 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.