Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 1 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Strasbourg host AJ Auxerre in Ligue 1 on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg). Strasbourg are 14th in the table with 7 points from 7 games; AJ Auxerre are 13th with 9.
Who will win Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre?
Strasbourg are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for AJ Auxerre. Megapari's 1.87 on Strasbourg sits right on our fair price of 1.87.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg to win | 53% | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.26 | 4.16 |
| AJ Auxerre to win | 23% | 4.33 | 4.16 |
| Strasbourg or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.27 |
| Draw or AJ Auxerre | 47% | 2.15 | 2.04 |
| Strasbourg or AJ Auxerre | 76% | 1.31 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 | 2.42 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 58% | 1.72 | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.39 | 2.32 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 17:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre
Goals are expected: 1.9 for Strasbourg and 1.2 for AJ Auxerre, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.
Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.8% | 9.24 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.18 |
| 2-0 | 8.4% | 11.85 |
| 1-0 | 8.3% | 11.98 |
| 3-1 | 6.2% | 16.05 |
Form: Strasbourg and AJ Auxerre in their last five
Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. AJ Auxerre have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Strasbourg: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | PSG (home)Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Nice (away)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Paris (away)Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Monaco (home)Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Troyes (away)Ligue 1 | 6-2 | W |
AJ Auxerre: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Le Havre (away)Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Rennes (away)Ligue 1 | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Brest (home)Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Nice (home)Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Lyon (away)Ligue 1 | 1-3 | L |
Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Strasbourg won 3, AJ Auxerre won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 7 March 2026, finished AJ Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | AJ Auxerre – StrasbourgLigue 1 | 0-0 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Strasbourg – AJ AuxerreLigue 1 | 3-0 |
| 2 Mar 2025 | AJ Auxerre – StrasbourgLigue 1 | 0-1 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Strasbourg – AJ AuxerreLigue 1 | 3-1 |
The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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