SV Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 31 October

SV Werder Bremen host TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at Weserstadion (Bremen). SV Werder Bremen are 6th in the table with 12 points from 7 games; TSG Hoffenheim are 14th with 6.

Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim?

There is little to separate the sides: SV Werder Bremen 37%, the draw 23%, TSG Hoffenheim 39%. Megapari's 2.23 on TSG Hoffenheim is shorter than our fair price of 2.54: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (82%), over 2.5 goals (65%) and both teams to score: yes (65%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in SV Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim

Goals are expected: 1.8 for SV Werder Bremen and 1.6 for TSG Hoffenheim, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 65%.

SV Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: SV Werder Bremen and TSG Hoffenheim in their last five

SV Werder Bremen are unbeaten in 5 (2 wins, 3 draws), with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded. TSG Hoffenheim have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

SV Werder Bremen: last five matches

TSG Hoffenheim: last five matches

SV Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, SV Werder Bremen won 1, TSG Hoffenheim won 4 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 SV Werder Bremen.

How the odds have moved

Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.37 to 1.41, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.