Torino vs US Lecce prediction: Serie A, Saturday 7 November

Torino host US Lecce in Serie A on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino). Torino are 9th in the table with 13 points from 9 games; US Lecce are 14th with 9.

Who will win Torino vs US Lecce?

Torino are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 27% for the draw and 24% for US Lecce. Megapari's 2.01 on Torino sits right on our fair price of 2.01.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Torino vs US Lecce

Expected goals are 1.5 for Torino and 0.9 for US Lecce, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Torino vs US Lecce correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (13%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Torino and US Lecce in their last five

Torino have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. US Lecce have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. The results cover every competition in our data.

Torino: last five matches

US Lecce: last five matches

Torino vs US Lecce head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Torino won 3, US Lecce won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 1 February 2026, finished Torino 1–0 US Lecce.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.