Premier League
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction: Premier League, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
- Tottenham
- 52%Megapari 1.67
- Draw
- 24%Megapari 4.31
- Crystal Palace
- 23%Megapari 5.38
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.6–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Tottenham host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Tottenham Hotspur (London). Tottenham are 17th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; Crystal Palace are 15th with 7.
Who will win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Crystal Palace. Megapari's 1.67 on Tottenham is shorter than our fair price of 1.91: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham to win | 52% | 1.91 | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | 4.31 |
| Crystal Palace to win | 23% | 4.30 | 5.38 |
| Tottenham or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.19 |
| Draw or Crystal Palace | 48% | 2.10 | 2.34 |
| Tottenham or Crystal Palace | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 | 2.17 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Expected goals are 1.6 for Tottenham and 1.2 for Crystal Palace, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.1% | 8.24 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.70 |
| 1-0 | 8.9% | 11.24 |
| 2-0 | 7.7% | 13.05 |
| 1-2 | 7.0% | 14.18 |
Form: Tottenham and Crystal Palace in their last five
Tottenham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Tottenham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Chelsea (away)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Coventry City (home)Premier League | 3-1 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Man United (away)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Aston Villa (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Everton (home)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Crystal Palace: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Beşiktaş (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Brighton (away)Premier League | 0-5 | L |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lyon (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Nottingham Forest (home)Premier League | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Leeds (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Tottenham won 3, Crystal Palace won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 5 March 2026, finished Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League | 1-3 |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace – TottenhamPremier League | 0-1 |
| 11 May 2025 | Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League | 0-2 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Crystal Palace – TottenhamPremier League | 1-0 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League | 3-1 |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Crystal Palace – TottenhamPremier League | 1-2 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Tottenham has shortened from 1.79 to 1.67 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.74 to 1.68, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham to win | 1.79 | 1.67 ↓ |
| Draw | 4.09 | 4.31 ↑ |
| Crystal Palace to win | 4.72 | 5.38 ↑ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.68 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.38 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.64 | 1.63 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.15 | 2.17 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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