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Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction: Premier League, Saturday 31 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Tottenham

Crystal Palace

Tottenham
52%Megapari 1.67
Draw
24%Megapari 4.31
Crystal Palace
23%Megapari 5.38

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.6–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)

Tottenham host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Tottenham Hotspur (London). Tottenham are 17th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; Crystal Palace are 15th with 7.

Who will win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?

Tottenham are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Crystal Palace. Megapari's 1.67 on Tottenham is shorter than our fair price of 1.91: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Tottenham to win 52% 1.91 1.67
Draw 24% 4.12 4.31
Crystal Palace to win 23% 4.30 5.38
Tottenham or draw 77% 1.30 1.19
Draw or Crystal Palace 48% 2.10 2.34
Tottenham or Crystal Palace 76% 1.32 1.26
Over 1.5 goals 77% 1.31 1.18
Over 2.5 goals 56% 1.78 1.68
Under 2.5 goals 44% 2.28 2.38
Under 3.5 goals 69% 1.45 1.53
Both teams to score: yes 56% 1.78 1.63
Both teams to score: no 44% 2.28 2.17

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

Expected goals are 1.6 for Tottenham and 1.2 for Crystal Palace, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-112.1%8.24
2-19.3%10.70
1-08.9%11.24
2-07.7%13.05
1-27.0%14.18

Form: Tottenham and Crystal Palace in their last five

Tottenham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Tottenham: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Chelsea (away)Premier League2-0W
19 Oct 2026Coventry City (home)Premier League3-1W
10 Oct 2026Man United (away)Premier League1-1D
19 Sep 2026Aston Villa (home)Premier League2-3L
12 Sep 2026Everton (home)Premier League0-0D

Crystal Palace: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
22 Oct 2026Beşiktaş (away)UEFA Europa League2-2D
18 Oct 2026Brighton (away)Premier League0-5L
15 Oct 2026Lyon (away)UEFA Europa League2-3L
11 Oct 2026Nottingham Forest (home)Premier League3-1W
20 Sep 2026Leeds (away)Premier League0-0D

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Tottenham won 3, Crystal Palace won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 5 March 2026, finished Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace.

DateMatchScore
5 Mar 2026Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League1-3
28 Dec 2025Crystal Palace – TottenhamPremier League0-1
11 May 2025Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League0-2
27 Oct 2024Crystal Palace – TottenhamPremier League1-0
2 Mar 2024Tottenham – Crystal PalacePremier League3-1
27 Oct 2023Crystal Palace – TottenhamPremier League1-2

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Tottenham has shortened from 1.79 to 1.67 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.74 to 1.68, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Tottenham to win1.791.67 ↓
Draw4.094.31 ↑
Crystal Palace to win4.725.38 ↑
Over 2.5 goals1.741.68 ↓
Under 2.5 goals2.272.38 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.641.63 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.152.17 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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