TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 prediction: Bundesliga, Sunday 8 November

TSG Hoffenheim host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 21:30 EAT. The match is played at PreZero Arena (Sinsheim). TSG Hoffenheim are 11th in the table with 9 points from 8 games; Schalke 04 are 17th with 6.

Who will win TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?

TSG Hoffenheim are favourites, though not by much: 57% to win, 23% for the draw and 20% for Schalke 04. Megapari's 1.65 on TSG Hoffenheim is shorter than our fair price of 1.74: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: TSG Hoffenheim to win (57%) and TSG Hoffenheim or draw (80%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04

Goals are expected: 1.7 for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.9 for Schalke 04, 2.7 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: TSG Hoffenheim and Schalke 04 in their last five

TSG Hoffenheim have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Schalke 04 have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 1 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

TSG Hoffenheim: last five matches

Schalke 04: last five matches

TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 head to head

TSG Hoffenheim and Schalke 04 have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on TSG Hoffenheim has drifted from 1.55 to 1.65 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.37 to 1.46, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.