Serie A
Udinese vs Roma prediction: Serie A, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Udinese host Roma in Serie A on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine). Udinese are 17th in the table with 4 points from 7 games; Roma are 3rd with 18.
Who will win Udinese vs Roma?
Roma are favourites, though not by much: 60% to win, 23% for the draw and 17% for Udinese. Megapari's 1.69 on Roma sits right on our fair price of 1.68.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Roma to win (60%) and draw or Roma (83%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese to win | 17% | 5.75 | 5.30 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | 4.27 |
| Roma to win Tip | 60% | 1.68 | 1.69 |
| Udinese or draw | 40% | 2.48 | 2.31 |
| Draw or Roma Tip | 83% | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| Udinese or Roma | 77% | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.16 | 2.08 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Udinese vs Roma
Expected goals are 0.9 for Udinese and 1.9 for Roma, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Udinese vs Roma correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-1 at 11%, ahead of 0-2 (11%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 11.3% | 8.84 |
| 0-2 | 11.2% | 8.89 |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | 9.19 |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | 10.15 |
| 0-3 | 7.1% | 14.03 |
Form: Udinese and Roma in their last five
Udinese have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Roma have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.
Udinese: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | US Lecce (home)Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Torino (away)Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Cagliari (home)Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Inter (away)Serie A | 3-5 | L |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Lazio (home)Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Roma: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Napoli (away)Serie A | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Slovan Bratislava (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Genoa CFC (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Real Madrid (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-4 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Como (away)Serie A | 0-0 | D |
Udinese vs Roma head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Udinese won 1, Roma won 5 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 2 February 2026, finished Udinese 1–0 Roma.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Udinese – RomaSerie A | 1-0 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Roma – UdineseSerie A | 2-0 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Udinese – RomaSerie A | 1-2 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Roma – UdineseSerie A | 3-0 |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Udinese – RomaSerie A | 1-2 |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Roma – UdineseSerie A | 3-1 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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