Union Berlin vs Köln prediction: Bundesliga, Sunday 1 November

Union Berlin host Köln in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at An der Alten Forsterei (Berlin). Union Berlin are 17th in the table with 6 points from 7 games; Köln are 11th with 8.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Köln?

There is little to separate the sides: Union Berlin 40%, the draw 27%, Köln 33%. Megapari pays 2.58 on Union Berlin, more than our fair price of 2.50.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 19:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Union Berlin vs Köln

Expected goals are 1.4 for Union Berlin and 1.2 for Köln, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Union Berlin vs Köln correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Union Berlin and Köln in their last five

Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -8. Köln have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Union Berlin: last five matches

Köln: last five matches

Union Berlin vs Köln head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Union Berlin won 2, Köln won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Union Berlin 2–2 Köln.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.