Venezia vs Inter prediction: Serie A, Wednesday 28 October

Venezia host Inter in Serie A on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice). Venezia are 20th in the table with 3 points from 7 games; Inter are 1st with 19.

Who will win Venezia vs Inter?

The model makes Inter clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 16% and Venezia at 12%. Megapari's 1.35 on Inter sits right on our fair price of 1.39.

Five markets clear our thresholds for this match: Inter to win (72%), draw or Inter (88%), over 1.5 goals (82%), over 2.5 goals (67%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 20:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Venezia vs Inter

Goals are expected: 1.0 for Venezia and 2.5 for Inter, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.

Venezia vs Inter correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-2 at 10%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-3 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Venezia and Inter in their last five

Venezia have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Inter have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. The results cover every competition in our data.

Venezia: last five matches

Inter: last five matches

Venezia vs Inter head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Venezia won none, Inter won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 12 January 2025, finished Venezia 0–1 Inter.

How the odds have moved

Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.25 to 1.28, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.