Serie A
Venezia vs Udinese prediction: Serie A, Friday 6 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Venezia
Udinese
- Venezia
- 39%Megapari 2.44
- Draw
- 28%Megapari 3.52
- Udinese
- 33%Megapari 3.10
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Venezia host Udinese in Serie A on Friday 6 November, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice). Venezia are 20th in the table with 3 points from 9 games; Udinese are 17th with 5.
Who will win Venezia vs Udinese?
There is little to separate the sides: Venezia 39%, the draw 28%, Udinese 33%. Megapari's 2.44 on Venezia is shorter than our fair price of 2.56: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia to win | 39% | 2.56 | 2.44 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | 3.52 |
| Udinese to win | 33% | 3.05 | 3.10 |
| Venezia or draw | 67% | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Draw or Udinese | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Venezia or Udinese | 72% | 1.39 | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 | 1.91 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Venezia vs Udinese
Expected goals are 1.3 for Venezia and 1.2 for Udinese, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Venezia vs Udinese correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.5% | 7.40 |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | 9.89 |
| 0-1 | 9.4% | 10.59 |
| 0-0 | 9.1% | 11.04 |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | 12.17 |
Form: Venezia and Udinese in their last five
Venezia have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Udinese have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 1 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Venezia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Inter (home)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Genoa CFC (away)Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Napoli (home)Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Atalanta (away)Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Lazio (home)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
Udinese: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Parma (away)Serie A | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Oct 2026 | AC Milan (home)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2026 | US Lecce (home)Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Torino (away)Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Cagliari (home)Serie A | 0-1 | L |
Venezia vs Udinese head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Venezia won 1, Udinese won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 1 February 2025, finished Udinese 3–2 Venezia.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2025 | Udinese – VeneziaSerie A | 3-2 |
| 30 Oct 2024 | Venezia – UdineseSerie A | 3-2 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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